Bitcoin Next Move: Price Outlook, SIP Guide and Tax Rules for Indian Investors (2026)
Watch: Bitcoin का अगला Move क्या होगा? | Bitcoin SIP Investment | Priyank Sharma Podcast @HOLDwithPriyank · ~75 min
Bitcoin was trading near ₹79.09 lakh per coin on 14 October 2026, with global prices around $83,000 on major trackers. Earlier this year it dipped below $60,000 before a sharp recovery. Every few weeks the same question returns: what will Bitcoin do next? SEBI registered research analyst Priyank Sharma, in crypto since 2017, sits with Sarvesh Mishra on The Sarvesh Mishra Show.
For the series itself, start at What Is The Sarvesh Mishra Show?
Prices and tax rules change. Confirm a live rate on your exchange and current law with a chartered accountant.
Bitcoin price today, and why everyone is searching for the next move
Google Finance showed 1 BTC at ₹79,08,585.98 on 14 October 2026, down about 0.13 percent on the day. CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko listed it near $83,600 to $83,800. During the podcast recording the price was quoted near $76,000, which shows how quickly this market moves.
The most common searches around Bitcoin right now include “Bitcoin price”, “Bitcoin crash”, “Bitcoin future” and “why is Bitcoin falling”. That tells you where investor attention and anxiety sit. Always check a live price on your exchange before acting, because every figure in an article goes stale within hours.
Five forces that decide the next Bitcoin move
1. Limited supply
Only 21 million Bitcoin can ever exist, and roughly 20 million have already been mined. Priyank explained it with a wedding analogy: if food is cooked for 300 guests and 500 arrive, everyone rushes the dessert counter. Rising demand against fixed supply puts upward pressure on price. Many early coins are also permanently lost because owners forgot their private keys, which shrinks the usable supply further.
2. Confidence as a store of value
Gold holds value largely because people trust it will. Bitcoin works on the same belief, which is why the price rises on confidence and can fall when confidence breaks. This is the core risk, and it is why no serious analyst calls Bitcoin safe.
3. The halving cycle
Roughly every four years, the reward miners earn for adding a block is cut in half. Public sources point to the next halving around 2028. Past halvings were followed by large market moves, but history is not a rule, and past cycles do not guarantee future results.
4. Regulation headlines
The recent failure of the Clarity Act to pass in the US Senate is a good example. The bill aimed to set rules for stablecoins such as Tether and USDC. According to the podcast, its failure is a short term setback for institutional confidence and could pressure prices briefly, though Priyank does not expect a large long term impact. Check a reliable news source for the latest status, since this story is evolving.
5. Adoption beyond trading
Asset tokenization, central bank digital currencies, crypto payments in several countries and stock market tokenization plans all point to blockchain being used for more than speculation. Growing real use tends to deepen long term confidence.
Can anyone predict the next Bitcoin move?
No. Priyank’s view is that the future is unknown to everyone, so the smarter approach is to study history and build a plan that survives bad outcomes. Bitcoin has risen enormously since 2009, but the path included deep falls. Gold shows the same pattern: someone who bought at a recent peak feels very different from someone who bought two years earlier.
Replace “where will the price go tomorrow” with “can I hold through a 30 percent drop without panic selling”. Your position size should be built around that second question.
FOMO and Bitcoin: how not to get trapped
Fear of missing out is the single biggest reason retail investors lose money. Prices rise, social media fills with success stories, and people buy near the top. Priyank’s comment sums it up: people chase whatever is rising, and they dislike it while it sits at fair value.
- Start now, but start small. The real cost of waiting is not a missed rally. It is never building the habit and the knowledge. A small SIP today beats a large panic purchase later.
- Never buy a vertical candle. If you feel rushed, that feeling is your signal to slow down.
- Ignore guaranteed return claims. Any promise of fixed or guaranteed crypto returns is a red flag.
- Do not hunt for the next Bitcoin. Hunting for the next big coin is a common and costly mistake. Study what real problem a project solves and how long it has survived.
Bitcoin SIP investment, step by step
A Bitcoin SIP means investing a fixed amount at fixed intervals, whatever the price. It is the crypto version of a mutual fund SIP.
Why he says it works: there is no pressure to find the perfect entry, it averages your buying price across highs and lows, it starts with small amounts, and it reduces emotional decisions.
How to start, as discussed:
- Choose an FIU registered exchange and complete KYC with Aadhaar, PAN, selfie and bank details.
- Deposit money from your own bank account.
- Select Bitcoin or another large coin you have researched.
- Set the amount and frequency, such as a fixed sum every 15 days.
- Let it run and avoid checking the price daily.
According to the podcast, platforms such as CoinDCX and Sun Crypto offered SIPs starting between ₹100 and ₹500. Features and minimums change often, so confirm on the platform. The podcast also mentioned partnerships with some exchanges, so compare fees and registration status independently before choosing.
Can I buy Bitcoin with 100 rupees?
Yes. You do not need to buy a whole coin. Bitcoin is divisible, just as you can buy 1 gram of gold instead of a kilo. A few hundred rupees buys a small fraction, and that is enough to learn how the process works.
Bitcoin vs gold: which is better for the next 3 years?
Priyank declined to name a winner, and so should any honest source. No asset is risk free, not even a bank FD above the insured limit. Gold has thousands of years of trust behind it, while Bitcoin has about 17 years, higher volatility and a fixed supply. Many investors hold both in small, planned proportions rather than choosing one. For a manufacturer’s view of gold itself, see SS Alam on whether gold will get cheaper.
Crypto tax in India
| Rule | Details as discussed |
|---|---|
| Tax on profit | 30 percent on gains from selling or trading |
| TDS | 1 percent on transfers |
| Holding | No tax just for holding |
| GST | Charged on exchange fees |
| Loss set off | Not allowed against other income |
Example from the brief: you buy ₹5 lakh of Bitcoin and sell at ₹10 lakh. Your gain is ₹5 lakh, so tax is ₹1.5 lakh. Keep your purchase records and declare crypto in your ITR. Rules can change, so confirm current provisions with a chartered accountant.
How to pick a safe exchange
India’s crypto market is not regulated like the stock market, so the first filter discussed is FIU registration. On an FIU registered exchange you complete KYC, money moves through your own bank account, and suspicious activity is reported. It does not guarantee against fraud, but it gives you a legal basis for complaint if something goes wrong.
Verify in three steps:
- Find the FIU registration number in the exchange’s About Us section.
- Match that number on the official FIU website.
- If the brand name differs from the registered company, download the certificate or ask support for proof.
P2P crypto scam warning
Peer to peer trades with strangers are the most common source of trouble described here. A buyer sends money, then files a cyber crime complaint claiming theft, and your bank account or FD can be frozen. Priyank described a real case where a ₹3 lakh P2P sale led to a frozen FD.
This is a warning. Do not treat a stranger’s P2P transfer as safe. If a complaint happens, cooperate and tell the full truth. Guaranteed crypto returns are a red flag.
- Trade only with people you know and trust.
- Exchange and verify Aadhaar and PAN details, and match them to the bank account name.
- Declare every transaction in your ITR.
- If a complaint happens, cooperate and tell the full truth.
Beginner plan: start with ₹1 lakh the smart way
This is the approach discussed in the podcast, not financial advice.
- Learn first: read the Bitcoin white paper and understand blockchain.
- Divide your capital between long term investing and trading practice.
- Split the investing part into 5 or 6 purchases, or use a SIP.
- Paper trade before using real money, then use very low leverage such as 2x or 3x.
- Always use a stop loss and protect your capital.
- Think in a 5 to 10 year window for investing.
Futures and leverage used without learning behave like gambling. With skill and discipline they become a risk managed tool, but a single bad trade can still wipe out capital.
Frequently asked questions
What is the next move for Bitcoin?
What will Bitcoin be worth in 2030?
Why is Bitcoin falling?
Is Bitcoin safe to invest in?
Can I buy 1 Bitcoin in 100 rupees?
Is crypto legal in India?
How much tax is charged on crypto in India?
What is a Bitcoin SIP?
How do I check if an exchange is FIU registered?
Does the Clarity Act affect Indian investors?
The practical thread is size and records, not a price call: a small SIP beats a panic buy, FIU registration is the first filter, and tax is part of the plan. Guest views and the 14 October 2026 prices should be checked against a live market and current law.
Sarvesh Mishra is an Indian entrepreneur, journalist, interviewer and the host of The Sarvesh Mishra Show. He is the Founder of Red Hot Media House Pvt. Ltd. and CureSoulLife Pvt. Ltd., and the author of Love With Benifit.